TSM·Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.
Q1 2026·Apr 17, 2026
↑ Bullish
Key Metrics
Revenue
$29.2B+42% Y/Y
Beat +$1.2B
Non-GAAP EPS
NT$14.24
Beat +NT$0.80
Segment Breakdown
High Performance Computing (HPC)
+68% Y/Y↑ Bullish
Smartphone
+22% Y/Y↑ Bullish
Automotive
+28% Y/Y↑ Bullish
IoT
+15% Y/Y→ Neutral
Demand Signals
LITHO·↑ BullishStrong

N2 (2nm) node entered volume production in Q1 2026, with HPC customers (Apple, NVIDIA, AMD) as launch customers. N2 uses ~14 EUV layers per wafer vs. ~10 at N3 — each node adds EUV intensity. TSMC guided N2 revenue to represent over 10% of wafer revenue by Q4 2026, tracking ahead of N3's adoption pace.

TSMC Q1 2026 Earnings·Apr 2026
PACKAGING·↑ BullishStrong

CoWoS advanced packaging capacity growing at 80% CAGR, still falling short of demand. TSMC confirmed demand for CoWoS "significantly exceeds" supply through 2027. TSMC is expanding CoWoS capacity in both Taiwan and the US (Arizona), but new capacity takes 18–24 months to qualify. NVIDIA alone reserves ~60% of available output.

TSMC Q1 2026 Earnings / Capital Markets Day·Apr 2026
CPU·↑ BullishStrong

HPC platform — AI accelerators, server CPUs, custom ASICs — reached 55%+ of TSMC revenue in Q1 2026, up from 42% two years ago. AI-driven HPC is structurally shifting TSMC's revenue mix toward its highest-ASP products. Management guided HPC to remain the dominant growth driver through at least 2028.

TSMC Q1 2026 Earnings·Apr 2026
LITHO·↑ BullishModerate

TSMC Arizona (Fab 21) Phase 1 (N4 process) ramping with Apple and NVIDIA as anchor customers. Phase 2 (N2) on track for 2026 construction. CHIPS Act funding ($6.6B grant) supporting capex. US-made wafers commanding 10–15% premium over Taiwan production — which customers are accepting for supply chain resilience.

TSMC Q1 2026 Earnings / CHIPS Act Announcement·Apr 2026
LITHO·→ NeutralModerate

Geopolitical risk remains the key overhang for TSMC. Taiwan Strait tensions and US export control expansion create uncertainty for long-term capital allocation. TSMC management noted that geographic diversification (Arizona, Japan, Germany) is a direct response to customer requests for supply chain resilience — not purely an economic decision.

TSMC Q1 2026 Earnings / Investor Q&A·Apr 2026
TAM Estimates · 2026
Advanced Node Wafer (≤5nm)+18% CAGR
$52Bbase case
Bear $38BBase $52BBull $68B
Advanced Packaging (CoWoS)+42% CAGR
$14Bbase case
Bear $8BBase $14BBull $22B